Behind the suddenly tense relationship between Japan and China, it is possible that Ano is laughing again.

 Since the beginning of August 2016, about 400 Chinese fishing boats have already invaded the connecting waters around the Senkaku Islands. The hearing of the footsteps of China's full-scale invasion of territory has raised concerns in Japan as well. But should Japan really think only about "protecting the Senkaku Islands from China" on this issue? This time, Tokana succeeded in obtaining surprising findings from government officials.

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■ Current status of China's advantage

"Although not widely reported, Chinese public vessels are always in the connecting waters of the Senkaku Islands. The ship is resident. The Maritime Security Agency is monitoring it, but of course the government has ordered that "don't touch it", so we just stand by. Despite this, China If the number of public vessels increases, they will be sent from each base nationwide to make an emergency departure and be assigned the task of "bystander". Although it is not written in the media, to be clear, Kaiho is already making noise in a state of sickness. After all, there are a huge number of Chinese ships, and China is closer to the Senkaku Islands. "(Government officials, same below)

" It is Japan that makes noise in the exhaustion battle, but China. Is exactly that "waiting for exhaustion" state. Perhaps it is a calculation to create a de facto joint management state of the territory when Japan is exhausted. It is a common practice in China, but it is China's normal state. Starting with the crackdown on fishing boats, we will move to joint management by creating the established fact that we have "exercised de facto jurisdiction."

 It is clear from historical and international law that the Senkaku Islands are a territory peculiar to Japan, even though they do not have effective control. Nevertheless, can we hand over our territory to China as it is?

"Of course not good. China's control of the Senkaku makes it easier to get out into the East China Sea, which will lead to an even greater increase in military power. That said, Japan's current attitude even when exhausted. It cannot be said unconditionally whether it should go through. "

■ The U.S. government is a sales force

of Jewish capital. It's easy to think of the US government, which often fuels the crisis in Japan, as a sales force of Jewish capital. In fact, the US threatens China, and Japan expands its defense budget. In the 28 trillion yen economic measures decided by the Cabinet on the 2nd, the Ministry of Defense procured weapons such as the PAC3 missile and the new patrol aircraft P1 to F15 fighter aircraft. There is to be planning the modernization of. Above all, the US-made weapons purchases of 2003 in 465.7 billion yen, is the clear evidence is that 3.5 times three years ago, "

■ the United States is willing to defend Japan There is no such thing, but the Self-Defense Forces use it a lot and rob

 it of money, but that money should be an up-front investment in anticipation that the U.S. military will protect Japan if the Senkaku Islands are about to be effectively controlled. ..

"The United States will not be able to protect Japan. The Japan-US Security Treaty states that (the scope of Article 5 of the Japan-US Security Treaty), but it is a guideline for Japan-US defense cooperation (Japan-US defense cooperation). Despite the revision of the US Guidelines in 2015, there is still no clear statement that the United States will help on the Senkaku issue, because the United States is also sorry to set up with the intensified China. "

[Japan-US Guidelines]
<The Self-Defense Forces will proactively carry out operations to prevent and eliminate land attacks, including those against islands. If the need arises, the Self-Defense Forces will carry out an operation to recapture the islands>
→ It is written that Japan must eliminate the Chinese on its own
<U.S. forces support the operation of the Self-Defense Forces and Implementing operations to complement>
→ The vague expression seems to be that we do not want to collide with China entirely.

"This is not the only treatment of Japan by the United States. Japan is also requested to cooperate in the restraint of China's overseas expansion. The Self-Defense Forces have participated in U.S. military activities, and the government has shown a willingness to cooperate financially. Although it is not a direct party to the territorial issue, it forcibly cooperates with it and is not aware of the East China Sea issue (Senkaku). There is no choice but to do it. ”

 So how can we compete with China?

"It's very difficult to compete with China. If Japan and China collide in earnest, China will impose economic sanctions on Japan. South Korea, which has decided to introduce a state-of-the-art interception system third, is a good example. Is angry and puts out restrictions on imports and restrictions on tourists going to South Korea. If this happens in Japan, the economy will collapse. Therefore, Abe who wants to avoid the failure of Abenomics is now with China. Will continue to have an ambiguous relationship. "

"But it is highly likely that the Japan Coast Guard will eventually make a noise and reach the conclusion of joint management with China. If so, I think it is okay to come up with joint management from Japan at an early stage. Is my theory. I think it's better to let go of either one than to take territory and money. At least I think it is necessary to formulate a diplomatic strategy with that conclusion in mind. "

"Japan's right wing reacts sensitively to China, but our enemies are not the only ones. The real enemies in question can only be seen from a bird's-eye view. The same is true for collective self-defense. there are added budget do you Who is to the obtained. really what Kudaseru Japan is really for the sake of Japan decision, we are we must identify without being danced in the major media, "

 certainly Major media often post news to the effect that "American officials have said that they will protect Japan" and "The United States will protect the Senkaku Islands," but the reality turned out to be completely different. The reality seems to be that "the Senkaku Islands are very likely to be unprotected." Then we must calmly think about what to do next, accepting that reality.
(Editor)
* Image: Quoted from Thinkstock.